Top Aides Call for Investigation of Paxton and Other News for October 4
Oct 4, 2020 | Campaign News
Tomorrow (Monday) is the last day to register to vote, or update one’s registration, for the November 3 general election. Tomorrow is also the deadline for state and local candidates facing general election opponents to file their 30-day-out campaign finance reports....
Analysis of Competitive Central Texas House Districts
Aug 29, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We continue our series of analyses of competitive, or potentially competitive, legislative seats with an exploration of the I-35 corridor from Bell Co. to Bexar Co. Republican Targets HD45 (Lean Democratic): Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) won this open seat in 2018,...
Candidates Filing Up and Down Ballot as Deadline Looms
Dec 7, 2019 | Campaign News
Correction: In yesterday’s edition, we erroneously indicated Jacey Jetton was running for Congress when we reported that U.S. Rep. Pete Olson (R-Sugar Land) had endorsed him. Jetton is running to succeed the retiring state Rep. Rick Miller (R-Sugar Land). We regret...
Committee Hearing, Candidate and Lawsuit News for August 11
Aug 11, 2019 | Campaign News
House Speaker: The House General Investigating Committee will meet tomorrow (Monday) beginning at 10 a.m. to take invited testimony regarding the June 12 meeting between Speaker Dennis Bonnen (R-Angleton), Rep. Dustin Burrows (R-Lubbock) and Empower Texans CEO Michael...
Candidate, Retirement and Census News for July 9
Jul 9, 2019 | Campaign News
SCCJ: Bellaire attorney and Court of Appeals Justice (Dist. 14, Pl. 3) Jerry Zimmerer amended his campaign committee for a potential challenge of Chief Justice Nathan Hecht (R) as a Democrat. Zimmerer won the Place 3 seat on the 14th Court of Appeals in 2018 by...
Cason First to Declare for HD92 and Other News for June 25
Jun 25, 2019 | Campaign News
HD68: Rep. Drew Springer (R-Muenster) announced he would seek re-election. Rotan resident Andrew Nelson has announced his intention to be the first Democrat to seek the seat since 2002. By our measure, HD68 is the second reddest district in the state. HD92 open:...
Revisiting Our Election Predictions
Nov 13, 2018 | General Elections, Political Climate
Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...
Democrats Gain Ground But Fail to Win the Big Prize
Nov 7, 2018 | Election Night Returns
We’re still waiting on the last few boxes, mostly located in the big urban counties, to be reported. As of 3:45 a.m. CST, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leads U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, 51%-48%, with 98% of precincts reporting. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads former Dallas Co....
Predicting the 2018 General Election, Part 2
Nov 5, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses, House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
This is the second of two analyses that will attempt to prognosticate Tuesday’s general election. Here we focus on individual races. Our previous analysis examined the state’s political climate entering the election. Borrowing from Monty Python, “That’s no ordinary...
‘Late-train’ Money Favors Federal Races
Nov 1, 2018 | Campaign Finance
“Late-train” money is flowing into close Congressional races but largely ignoring state races as the election campaign nears its end. Part of this disparity is due to the dates covered. Congressional candidates began disclosing contributions in “24-hour” reports on...
Key House Race Campaign Finance Results With a Week to Go
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7
Oct 19, 2018 | Political Climate
We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...
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