Texas Political Spotlight
2/13/2025

Texas Political Spotlight

Texas Lawmakers Push to Deny Bail for Violent Crimes, Undocumented Immigrants
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Texas lawmakers are advancing strict new bail laws to keep more violent offenders in jail, sparking a heated debate over public safety and constitutional rights. Meanwhile, a potential Senate showdown between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton threatens to reshape the Texas GOP, as the party’s conservative factions battle for dominance.

Today’s Insights:

  • Texas Lawmakers Push to Deny Bail for Violent Crimes, Undocumented Immigrants
  • A Senate Bid by Paxton Could Shake Texas GOP Even More

Texas Lawmakers Push to Deny Bail for Violent Crimes, Undocumented Immigrants

A Texas Senate committee has advanced a set of bills aimed at tightening the state’s bail system, seeking to keep more defendants in jail while awaiting trial for violent crimes. Senate Bill 9, authored by Sen. Joan Huffman, expands a GOP-backed law that restricts the use of cashless bail for certain offenses, adding crimes such as unlawful possession of a firearm, violation of a family violence protective order, terroristic threats, and fentanyl-related murder. Additionally, Senate Joint Resolution 5 proposes a constitutional amendment that would give judges greater discretion to deny bail entirely for individuals accused of crimes such as murder, aggravated kidnapping, and assault with a weapon. The measures, which received unanimous approval in committee, now head to the full Senate for consideration.

Another key proposal, Senate Joint Resolution 1, seeks to prevent undocumented immigrants accused of felonies from being granted bail, aligning with the Laken Riley Act, a federal law signed earlier this year. The resolution, named "Jocelyn’s Law" after a 12-year-old Houston girl murdered by two undocumented men, has drawn significant attention, with supporters arguing that it strengthens public safety and ensures accountability for non-citizens accused of serious crimes. During the committee hearing, emotional testimony from crime victims and their families underscored concerns about repeat offenders being released on bond, while Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick emphasized his commitment to passing the legislation, signaling potential pressure on the Texas House to follow suit.

Committee testimony was amplified on Wednesday, with critics of the proposed legislation, including civil rights groups and legal experts, warning that the measures could exacerbate jail overcrowding, disproportionately affect low-income defendants, and restrict judicial discretion. They argue that pretrial detention based on financial status rather than risk assessment undermines due process and could lead to unintended consequences, such as an increase in recidivism. Immigration advocates have also raised concerns about the broad language of "Jocelyn’s Law," cautioning that it could encompass individuals with lawful status who have pending visa applications. As the debate moves forward, the proposals are expected to spark further discussion on the balance between public safety and constitutional rights in Texas’ criminal justice system.

A Senate Bid by Paxton Could Shake Texas GOP Even More

Senator John Cornyn, a longtime fixture in Texas Republican politics, may soon find himself in an intense primary battle as his party shifts further to the right. Attorney General Ken Paxton, a vocal critic of Cornyn, has strongly hinted at a Senate bid, arguing that the incumbent has not faced a serious conservative challenge in his two decades in office. In a recent interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, Paxton said he is still weighing his options but expects to make a decision in the coming months. Meanwhile, Cornyn has made clear that he intends to seek reelection in 2026, setting up what could be a defining contest for the future of Texas Republicans.

Cornyn, who has held powerful leadership positions within the Senate, has built a reputation as a key player in the Republican establishment. However, his approval among the party’s base has declined, with recent polling indicating that Paxton would be a formidable opponent if he enters the race. Data from the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin shows Cornyn’s approval rating among Republican voters at 48%, significantly trailing Paxton’s 60%. Texas’ junior senator, Ted Cruz, remains the most popular Republican statewide with a 78% approval rating.

The tensions between Cornyn and Paxton go beyond electoral politics, with both men embodying different wings of the Republican Party. Cornyn has taken criticism from hardline conservatives for supporting bipartisan legislation, including a gun safety bill passed in the aftermath of the Uvalde school shooting. Paxton, on the other hand, has embraced a more combative, populist approach, aligning himself closely with President Donald Trump and pushing legal challenges against the 2020 election results. Trump’s endorsement could play a pivotal role in the race, as both candidates seek to align themselves with his influence.

Paxton is not the only potential challenger Cornyn could face. Several Texas Republicans, including U.S. Representatives Beth Van Duyne, Wesley Hunt, and Ronny Jackson, have been discussed as possible contenders, though none have officially announced their intentions. With the Texas primary set to be a pivotal battleground in the 2026 elections, a contested race could become a broader referendum on the Republican Party’s future, whether it upholds traditional conservatism or continues its shift toward a more hard-right ideology.

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Scotiabank Commits $60M to Expand Dallas Operations Description

On September 2, Governor Greg Abbott announced that Scotiabank will establish a major regional office in Dallas with a $60 million investment, creating over 1,020 new jobs, as detailed in a press release.

The Details:

  • The project will develop a 100,000-square-foot hub in Dallas’s Victory Park neighborhood.
  • Scotiabank CEO Travis Machen said, “This marks a significant investment in our U.S. operations, reinforcing our presence in Texas since the 1960s.”
  • The office will prioritize local hiring, with at least 25% of jobs reserved for Dallas residents, and offer internships with Dallas College and other local institutions.
  • Operations are expected to begin by late 2026, pending final approvals.

Why It Matters:
This investment bolsters Dallas’s status as a financial hub and supports Texas’s economic growth amid rising demand for financial services.

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On September 4, Toyota announced a $531 million investment to expand its manufacturing facility in San Antonio, underscoring its ongoing commitment to the region, as detailed in a press release.

The Details:

- The investment will add a 500,000-square-foot facility dedicated to drivetrain parts production, creating over 400 new jobs and enhancing production for the Toyota Tundra and Sequoia.

- The project builds on Toyota’s 20-year legacy in San Antonio, where it already assembles trucks and SUVs, and follows a $6.5 million grant to East Central ISD for STEM education.

- Rep. John Lujan said, “This expansion underscores Bexar County’s growing reputation as a hub for advanced manufacturing.”

- Toyota Texas aims to start production by mid-2026, reinforcing its role in the U.S. manufacturing supply chain.

- The move aligns with Toyota’s $531 million investment announced in June 2024, reflecting a continued focus on local growth.

Why It Matters:
This investment strengthens San Antonio’s manufacturing sector and supports Texas’s economic leadership in advanced industries.

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New Report: 60% of Small Businesses Use AI, Eye Cryptocurrency

On August 18, 2025, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce published the fourth edition of Empowering Small Business: The Impact of Technology on U.S. Small Business found that nearly 60% of small businesses use AI.

The Details:

  • The report shows 58% of small businesses use generative AI, up from 40% in 2024 and double 2023’s rate, with 96% planning to adopt emerging technologies like AI and cryptocurrencies.
  • 77% of AI-using businesses say limits on the technology would hurt growth and operations, while 82% reported workforce increases last year.
  • Jordan Crenshaw, Senior Vice President of the Chamber’s Technology Engagement Center, said, “A fragmented regulatory landscape will significantly hinder their ability to compete… policymakers need a single national framework.”
  • Hrag Kalebjian of Henry’s House of Coffee noted, “AI has been a game-changer… streamlining tasks like product descriptions and marketing emails.”
  • The study also found 70% of small business owners are interested in cryptocurrency and stablecoins.

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