Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, in a survey produced for Progress Texas, once again finds the presidential race in Texas to be within the margin of error. It’s June Texas Survey (PDF) shows President Trump leading presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, 48%-46%. Two weeks ago, the polling firm found the race tied, 48%-48%. Its April poll found Biden ahead by a point, 47%-46%.
Trump’s approval rating overall is 48/46. It is 39/50 among independents, who favor Biden, 51%-39%. Trump’s job performance is viewed quite favorably by Anglos (67/30), but other ethnic groups are significantly more disapproving. Just 8% of African-American voters approve of his job performance (79% disapprove) and 30% of Hispanics/Latinos approve (64% disapprove).
Men (53/41) tend to view Trump more favorably than women (45/51), and a similar gap exists in presidential vote choice. Trump leads among men, 54%-41%, while Biden leads among women, 51%-42%.
Voters under 35 are most disapproving of Trump (34/64) than any other age group, and Biden unsurprisingly has a large 56%-28% lead over Trump among them. Biden also leads Trump, 54%-41%, among voters aged 35 to 49, who also generally disapprove of Trump’s job performance (36/54). Trump fares best among voters aged 50 to 64. He leads Biden, 58%-37%, among this cadre, and they are the most favorably disposed toward his job performance (58/37).
What’s a bit surprising is that Biden and Trump are tied, 48%-48%, among voters 65 or older. In its poll two weeks ago, PPP found Trump leading Biden, 59%-38%, among these voters. Trump’s approval rating among voters 65 and older slipped to 52/44 in today’s (Tuesday’s) survey from two weeks ago (58/39).
Turning to the U.S. Senate race, neither U.S. Sen. John Cornyn (R) nor either of the Democrats in next month’s runoff were polled by name. Instead, voters were asked to choose “the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate.” The generic Republican leads the generic Democrat, 47%-45%.
The survey of 907 “Texas voters” was in the field June 18-19 conducted evenly on landlines and cell phones. The stated margin of error is ±3%.
Recent Presidential Polls
- Trump 48, Biden 48 – Public Policy Polling (June)
- Trump 44, Biden 43 – Quinnipiac Univ. (June)
- Trump 47, Biden 41 – Emerson (May)
- Trump 43, Biden 43 – DMN/UT-Tyler (May)
- Biden 47, Trump 46 – Public Policy Polling (April)
- Trump 49, Biden 44 – UT/Texas Tribune (April)
- Trump 45, Biden 44 – DMN/UT-Tyler (March)
- Trump 46, Biden 43 – Univision/Univ. of Houston (February)
- Biden 48, Trump 47 – CNN/SSRS (February)
- Trump 47, Biden 43 – UT/Texas Tribune (February)
- Trump 44, Biden 42 – DMN/UT-Tyler (February)
- Trump 51, Biden 46 – Texas Lyceum (January)
- Trump 48, Biden 47 – CNN/SSRS (December 2019)
- Trump 45, Biden 39 – DMN/UT-Tyler (November 2019)
- Trump 46, Biden 39 – UT/Texas Tribune (November 2019)
Links go to our coverage or commentary on the polls.
©2020 Texas Election Source
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