House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
11/28/2018

Full-ballot, Not Straight-party, Voters Flipped HD65

TXElects

When Rep. Ron Simmons (R-Carrollton), author of the bill that ends single-punch, straight-party voting in 2020, narrowly lost to Democratic challenger Michelle Beckley, we assumed straight-party voting was the reason. After all, in the largest counties, several Republican legislative incumbents were swamped by a rising tide of straight-party Democratic voters, so it made sense that this Denton Co. Republican met the same fate.

He didn’t. Straight-party voting factored into Simmons’s defeat, but it wasn’t the Democrats.

Compared to 2016, just 101 more straight-party Democratic votes were cast in HD65. The seat fell into range of flipping because 1,451 fewer voters cast straight-party Republican ballots than in 2016. Despite that decline, Simmons still held an advantage in straight-party voting. Rep.-elect Beckley (D-Carrollton) made up that 1,569-vote gap by taking 58% of the full-ballot vote.

The other three Denton Co. House districts experienced level straight-party Republican voting compared to 2016 and increased straight-party Democratic voting, but not enough to flip them. The closest was HD64, from which Rep. Lynn Stucky (R-Sanger) was re-elected by more than 5K votes. In HD63, held by Rep. Tan Parker (R-Flower Mound), and HD106, won by Rep.-elect Jared Patterson (R-Frisco), the Republicans’ advantages in straight-party voting were 24K and 15K, respectively.

HD65 did experience a significant shift towards the Democrats relative to 2014. In fact, nearly three times as many straight-party Democratic votes were cast this year than four years ago. Even that was not enough to offset completely an 8K-vote increase in straight-party Republican voting, and Beckley needed full-ballot voters to make up that difference.

Because 2018 turnout more closely resembled a presidential election than a gubernatorial election, it may be more instructive to measure the changes in straight-party voting relative to 2012, the first election in this redistricting cycle.

Since 2012, Simmons’s straight-party vote advantage has fallen 79%, declining in each of the last three election cycles. His district started with the smallest such advantage of the Denton Co. districts, and it has only shrunk since the district was drawn. HD64, which includes all of the city of Denton and its pocket of blue precincts, has also experienced a declining Republican advantage, just not as fast. The Republican advantage in HD106 has remained roughly level. HD63, on the other hand, has grown decidedly redder.

Parker received 57% of the full-ballot vote. Simmons (42%), Stucky (47%) and Paterson (47%) did not win a majority of full-ballot voters. All four outperformed U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, who did not win a majority of the full-ballot vote in any of these districts. Even in bright red HD63, U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke received 56% of the full-ballot vote measured head-to-head against Cruz. O’Rourke got 68% of the full-ballot vote in HD65, 65% in HD64 and 61% in HD106. Overall, the Republican legislators and open-seat candidate received nearly 2K more votes than Cruz, on average, in their respective districts.

What’s particularly interesting is how the full-ballot vote turned against Simmons and Stucky. Both of them received 61% support from voters who went through the entire ballot in 2016. This year, they received 42% and 47%, respectively. Though full-ballot voters comprised just 32% of the vote in HD65, that 19-point swing in two years was more than enough to life Beckley.

Given the drop in Republican straight-party voting in HD65, we would expect Simmons would have fared better among full-ballot voters. Either they abandoned him entirely, or those all those missing straight-party Republican voters skipped the election. Either way, it wasn’t straight-party Democratic voters that flipped HD65.

Rep. Ron Simmons
Rep. Ron Simmons
Rep.-elect Michelle Beckley

©2018 Texas Election Source LLC

Filed under Denton County, HD106, HD63, HD64, HD65, Straight-ticket Voting .

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How to Choose the Best Legislative Tracking Software for Your Organization
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In today’s fast-paced policy environment, staying informed is a constant challenge. Bills, hearings, and regulatory updates move quickly across jurisdictions, creating risks for organizations that rely on timely information, including the risk of missing important information when relying on manual processes. Choosing the best legislative tracking software is one of the most effective ways to manage legislative and regulatory tracking efficiently, minimize missed opportunities, and strengthen decision-making.

This article walks you through how to evaluate legislative and regulatory tools, compare coverage and capabilities, and understand which features help government affairs professionals and public affairs teams stay informed and a step ahead of rapid change. You’ll learn how to assess software platforms, review vendor performance, and apply a clear framework to guide your organization’s choice.

If you’re exploring modern solutions for policy monitoring, visit the best legislative tracking software to see how advanced systems help professionals track activity and analyze critical information across multiple jurisdictions.

Why Legislative Tracking Software Matters

Every legislative session brings thousands of new bills and hearings across the federal government, state legislatures, and local governments. For government affairs teams and law firms that must monitor state legislation or track regulations, the pace of change can be overwhelming.

Without digital platforms, staff may spend hours each day manually searching databases, reading committee reports, and updating spreadsheets. That process isn’t just inefficient—it’s risky. Missing one act or amendment could affect compliance, advocacy strategy, or even public reputation. Relying on manual tracking increases the chance of overlooking important details in legislative information, which can lead to missing critical updates or changes.

The Challenge of Volume and Velocity

  • Legislative and regulatory tracking spans bills, hearings, amendments, and regulations that appear daily.
  • Strategic decisions depend on access to verified data and real-time alerts.
  • Regulatory developments from government agencies can impact clients and advocacy groups instantly.

The Payoff

Automated tracking saves time, reduces human error, and delivers actionable insights faster. Teams can filter results, share updates, and focus their attention where it matters most—on influencing policy and shaping outcomes.

Key Features and Capabilities to Look For

Choosing the right tracking platform starts with understanding what differentiates effective tools from simple alert systems. Below are core features to evaluate before purchasing or implementing any solution.

Coverage Across Jurisdictions

The best systems provide a broad jurisdictional reach—from federal legislation to state legislative hearings and local government acts. Before committing, confirm whether the platform includes:

  • Federal and state legislation: Bills, amendments, regulations, hearings, and newly introduced bills, with Congress as a key source for federal legislative tracking.
  • Regulatory activity: Notices from agencies and committees.
  • Comprehensive data sources: Congressional records, local archives, and state portals.

Understanding the dynamic nature of Capitol Hill is crucial, as legislative activity and staff turnover at the federal level can significantly impact advocacy strategies and tracking efforts.

If your team must monitor state legislation, check that the vendor’s coverage includes smaller states and municipalities that frequently pass niche regulations.

Real Time Alerts and Notifications

Fast updates are critical for professionals who manage compliance or advocacy campaigns. Strong systems offer:

  • Instant email alerts for bill introductions, amendments, or new hearings.
  • Custom filters for topics, sponsors, committees, or jurisdictions.
  • Real-time dashboards showing where legislation is moving next.
  • Collaboration tools so teams can assign follow-up actions or comments.

With real-time alerts, government affairs professionals and policy experts can respond before deadlines pass—ensuring that organizations stay ahead and fully informed.

Analytics, Reporting, and Insight Generation

Good tracking isn’t just about collecting raw data. It’s about turning that data into useful analysis. A well-built platform helps users:

  • Create trend dashboards showing activity by topic, legislator, or region.
  • Generate reports to brief clients, executives, or advocacy groups.
  • Use artificial intelligence to compare bills, predict movement, or analyze outcomes.
  • Access historical data for longitudinal analysis.

By combining analytics with visualization tools, organizations gain the context needed to make strategic decisions quickly.

Artificial Intelligence in Legislative Tracking

Artificial intelligence transforms how government affairs professionals and government relations teams approach legislative tracking. By harnessing AI, organizations can analyze massive volumes of legislative and regulatory data in real time, ensuring that no critical bill or regulation goes unnoticed. AI-powered tools can automatically identify and prioritize bills that align with an organization’s advocacy goals, generate personalized bill summaries, and even predict the likelihood of legislative movement—all with minimal manual intervention.

For government relations professionals, this means less time spent sifting through raw data and more time focusing on strategy, stakeholder engagement, and influencing policy outcomes. AI-driven platforms can scan every legislative chamber, flagging new bills and regulations that matter most to your organization. These actionable insights empower teams to stay ahead of policy developments, respond quickly to emerging issues, and confidently make strategic decisions. As artificial intelligence continues to evolve, it will play an increasingly vital role in helping professionals track legislation, analyze regulatory trends, and drive effective advocacy across all levels of government.

Ease of Use and Vendor Support

Complex systems often fail because users find them hard to operate. When evaluating tracking software, consider:

  • Intuitive search functions and clear navigation.
  • Vendor training, documentation, and help-desk responsiveness.
  • Implementation timelines and onboarding resources.
  • Integration options with CRM, compliance, or reporting platforms.

The easier the interface, the more likely professionals across departments—legal, advocacy, and communications—will actually use it.

Security and Data Protection

When it comes to legislative tracking, security and data protection are non-negotiable for government affairs professionals and organizations. The sensitive nature of legislative and regulatory data—combined with the need for accurate, up-to-date information—means that robust security measures are essential. Leading legislative tracking platforms employ advanced encryption, secure servers, and strict access controls to ensure that only authorized users can access critical information.

In addition, reputable platforms adhere to industry best practices and compliance standards, safeguarding client data from unauthorized access or breaches. This commitment to security allows government relations professionals to focus on their core strategy and advocacy efforts, knowing that their data is protected at every step. By selecting a platform with proven security protocols, organizations can confidently manage their legislative tracking activities and maintain the trust of stakeholders, clients, and team members.

Integration with Other Tools

For government affairs professionals, efficiency and collaboration are key to successful advocacy. That’s why seamless integration between legislative tracking platforms and other essential tools—such as CRM systems, email clients, and social media monitoring software—is so valuable. Integrated platforms enable government relations professionals to track bills, monitor legislator interactions, and analyze advocacy campaigns all in one place, reducing manual data entry and streamlining workflows.

By connecting legislative tracking with CRM systems, organizations can maintain a comprehensive record of stakeholder engagement, track the progress of key bills, and measure the impact of their advocacy efforts. Integration with communication tools also ensures that teams can quickly share updates, assign tasks, and coordinate responses to legislative developments. Ultimately, these integrations help government affairs teams stay ahead of policy changes, maximize efficiency, and deliver more effective results for their organizations and clients.

Cost, Scalability, and ROI

Pricing varies widely across platforms. Some charge by user, others by jurisdiction. Evaluate:

  • Scalability: Can you expand access as new teams join?
  • Hidden costs: Extra fees for integrations or data exports.
  • ROI: Measure efficiency gains, reduced research hours, and improved regulatory compliance.

The right investment pays for itself through faster tracking, stronger insight, and better policy outcomes.

Building Your Decision-Making Checklist

A structured checklist helps teams evaluate multiple vendors objectively. Consider the following steps:

  1. Define scope: Identify which government levels—federal, state, local—your organization must monitor.
  2. Map stakeholders: Determine which departments, clients, professionals, or legislators need access to legislative tracking information.
  3. Create a scoring system: Rate vendors on coverage, alerts, analytics, ease of use, and cost.
  4. Request demos: Ask vendors to show how their tools track legislation and deliver reports.
  5. Review accuracy: Compare automated alerts to official legislative portals to confirm reliability.
  6. Pilot the system: Run a short test during a legislative session to evaluate performance.

This structured review allows government relations professionals and policy experts to make choices based on measurable evidence, not sales claims.

Common Pitfalls and How to Avoid Them

Even sophisticated organizations can stumble during implementation. Watch for these frequent errors:

  • Assuming full coverage: Some systems exclude local governments or agency regulations. This can result in missing important government actions, leaving you unaware of key legislative or regulatory developments.
  • Overloading users: Too many irrelevant alerts lead to fatigue.
  • Ignoring integration: Platforms that don’t connect to existing tools reduce efficiency.
  • Underestimating training: Teams may resist new systems without clear onboarding.
  • Skipping metrics: Without KPIs, you can’t analyze ROI or improvement.

Avoiding these issues keeps your strategy grounded in real performance data.

Implementation Best Practices and Maximizing Value

Rolling out a new tracking platform works best when everyone understands the process. Follow these steps:

  • Stakeholder alignment: Engage government affairs, legal, and communications teams early.
  • Define taxonomy: Standardize issue tags, committees, and jurisdiction names.
  • Workflow mapping: Assign ownership for monitoring, escalation, and communication.
  • Training: Offer live sessions and short guides to reinforce adoption.
  • Continuous review: Revisit settings each quarter to refine alerts and search filters.

As policy cycles shift, ongoing optimization ensures that your system remains accurate, relevant, and responsive to regulatory developments.

For additional insight on how legislative and regulatory tools operate, review the NCSL’s bill tracking overview, which explains how professionals track state legislation effectively.

Future of Legislative Tracking

The future of legislative tracking is bright, with rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, machine learning, and data analytics reshaping how government affairs professionals and organizations monitor and influence policy. As the demand for real-time, data-driven insights grows, legislative tracking tools will become even more sophisticated—offering predictive analytics, automated reporting, and deeper integration with other advocacy platforms.

We can expect to see greater adoption of cloud-based solutions, enhanced security features, and more intuitive user interfaces that make it easier for government relations professionals to access and analyze critical information. The integration of legislative tracking with CRM, communication, and analytics tools will provide a unified view of advocacy efforts, enabling teams to coordinate strategy and engage stakeholders more effectively.

As the policy landscape evolves, staying ahead of legislative and regulatory developments will be essential for organizations seeking to influence legislation and achieve their advocacy goals. By embracing the latest technologies and innovations, government affairs professionals can ensure they remain agile, informed, and ready to drive meaningful impact in an ever-changing environment.

Texas Political Spotlight
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Welcome back, friends

Texas voters approved one of the largest property tax relief packages in state history on Tuesday, raising the homestead exemption to $140,000 and granting new tax breaks for seniors, people with disabilities, and small businesses. In Austin, residents rejected Proposition Q, a plan to fund public safety, homelessness programs, and city facility initiatives through a property tax hike, forcing city leaders to rework the budget and brace for service cuts. Meanwhile, Bexar County voters narrowly passed Propositions A and B, greenlighting up to $311 million in tourism-funded support for a new downtown Spurs arena and upgrades to the Freeman Coliseum grounds.

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Texas Political Spotlight
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Welcome back friends,

Former Vice President Dick Cheney, one of the most influential and controversial figures in modern American politics, has died at 84, remembered by former President George W. Bush as a “patriot” whose intellect and conviction shaped decades of U.S. policy. In Texas, the Education Agency announced a sweeping takeover of Fort Worth ISD, the state’s second-largest intervention, citing years of academic underperformance and plans to install new local managers. And in Washington, a United Airlines flight was evacuated after a bomb threat, prompting an FBI investigation that later found no explosives, allowing operations to resume safely.

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