House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
11/28/2018

Full-ballot, Not Straight-party, Voters Flipped HD65

TXElects

When Rep. Ron Simmons (R-Carrollton), author of the bill that ends single-punch, straight-party voting in 2020, narrowly lost to Democratic challenger Michelle Beckley, we assumed straight-party voting was the reason. After all, in the largest counties, several Republican legislative incumbents were swamped by a rising tide of straight-party Democratic voters, so it made sense that this Denton Co. Republican met the same fate.

He didn’t. Straight-party voting factored into Simmons’s defeat, but it wasn’t the Democrats.

Compared to 2016, just 101 more straight-party Democratic votes were cast in HD65. The seat fell into range of flipping because 1,451 fewer voters cast straight-party Republican ballots than in 2016. Despite that decline, Simmons still held an advantage in straight-party voting. Rep.-elect Beckley (D-Carrollton) made up that 1,569-vote gap by taking 58% of the full-ballot vote.

The other three Denton Co. House districts experienced level straight-party Republican voting compared to 2016 and increased straight-party Democratic voting, but not enough to flip them. The closest was HD64, from which Rep. Lynn Stucky (R-Sanger) was re-elected by more than 5K votes. In HD63, held by Rep. Tan Parker (R-Flower Mound), and HD106, won by Rep.-elect Jared Patterson (R-Frisco), the Republicans’ advantages in straight-party voting were 24K and 15K, respectively.

HD65 did experience a significant shift towards the Democrats relative to 2014. In fact, nearly three times as many straight-party Democratic votes were cast this year than four years ago. Even that was not enough to offset completely an 8K-vote increase in straight-party Republican voting, and Beckley needed full-ballot voters to make up that difference.

Because 2018 turnout more closely resembled a presidential election than a gubernatorial election, it may be more instructive to measure the changes in straight-party voting relative to 2012, the first election in this redistricting cycle.

Since 2012, Simmons’s straight-party vote advantage has fallen 79%, declining in each of the last three election cycles. His district started with the smallest such advantage of the Denton Co. districts, and it has only shrunk since the district was drawn. HD64, which includes all of the city of Denton and its pocket of blue precincts, has also experienced a declining Republican advantage, just not as fast. The Republican advantage in HD106 has remained roughly level. HD63, on the other hand, has grown decidedly redder.

Parker received 57% of the full-ballot vote. Simmons (42%), Stucky (47%) and Paterson (47%) did not win a majority of full-ballot voters. All four outperformed U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, who did not win a majority of the full-ballot vote in any of these districts. Even in bright red HD63, U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke received 56% of the full-ballot vote measured head-to-head against Cruz. O’Rourke got 68% of the full-ballot vote in HD65, 65% in HD64 and 61% in HD106. Overall, the Republican legislators and open-seat candidate received nearly 2K more votes than Cruz, on average, in their respective districts.

What’s particularly interesting is how the full-ballot vote turned against Simmons and Stucky. Both of them received 61% support from voters who went through the entire ballot in 2016. This year, they received 42% and 47%, respectively. Though full-ballot voters comprised just 32% of the vote in HD65, that 19-point swing in two years was more than enough to life Beckley.

Given the drop in Republican straight-party voting in HD65, we would expect Simmons would have fared better among full-ballot voters. Either they abandoned him entirely, or those all those missing straight-party Republican voters skipped the election. Either way, it wasn’t straight-party Democratic voters that flipped HD65.

Rep. Ron Simmons
Rep. Ron Simmons
Rep.-elect Michelle Beckley

©2018 Texas Election Source LLC

Filed under Denton County, HD106, HD63, HD64, HD65, Straight-ticket Voting .

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How to Choose the Best Federal Legislative Tracking Software for Your Organization
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Every year, thousands of bills move through Congress, and without the right tracking system, teams miss critical information that affects compliance, strategy, and advocacy.

Manual tracking creates gaps.

Teams rely on scattered data, delayed alerts, and inconsistent updates, which makes it harder to stay ahead of policy developments.

Modern legislative tracking tools solve this by centralizing legislative and regulatory data, automating bill tracking, and delivering real-time alerts.

They allow organizations to monitor federal legislation, understand the legislative process, and act quickly when changes occur.

In this guide, you’ll learn how to evaluate legislative monitoring platforms, what features matter most, and how policy management solutions help government affairs teams work smarter.

You will also see how to compare tools, avoid mistakes, and choose a system that fits your organization.

After reviewing your current workflow, you can explore a centralized system like federal legislative tracking software

to improve how your team tracks legislation and responds to policy changes.

What Is Federal Legislative Tracking Software?

Federal legislative tracking software is a system that helps organizations track bills, monitor committee hearings, and follow the full legislative process in one place.

It replaces manual spreadsheets with automated tracking, giving users access to accurate and updated data.

Core Functionality Explained

A strong legislative tracking tool provides:

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Instead of checking multiple sources, users can track bills with just a few clicks.

These systems also:

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Congress introduces thousands of bills each year.

Without automation, tracking becomes inefficient and error-prone.

Why Organizations Need Legislative Monitoring Platforms

Organizations face constant pressure to monitor federal legislation and regulatory developments.

Missing a policy update can impact compliance, operations, and long-term planning.

Key Use Cases Across Industries

Legislative monitoring platforms support different teams across an organization:

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These tools help organizations:

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For example, a public policy manager can monitor policy areas and receive alerts when bills move through committee assignments.

This allows the team to act quickly and ensure their voice is heard during advocacy efforts.

Essential Features to Look For in Policy Management Solutions

Choosing the right legislative tracking tool depends on features that align with your organization and workflow tools.

Real-Time Alerts and Notifications

Real-time alerts are critical for staying informed.

Look for:

  • Alerts for bill movements, amendments, and executive orders.
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These alerts ensure your team never misses the latest developments.

Advanced Search and Filtering

Search functionality determines how quickly you find relevant results.

Key features include:

  • Keyword-based search across legislative and regulatory data.
  • Filters by committee, sponsor, and legislative session.
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Strong search tools help teams quickly understand what matters.

Data Visualization and Reporting

Advanced reporting turns raw data into useful analysis.

Look for:

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These features help organizations make informed decisions based on real data.

AI and Predictive Analytics

AI-powered tools are changing how legislative tracking works.

Capabilities include:

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These tools help policy professionals quickly understand large volumes of data.

Integration Capabilities

Integration improves team collaboration and workflow.

Look for systems that:

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Integration ensures support teams can work together efficiently.

How to Evaluate Federal Legislative Tracking Software

Selecting the right legislative tracking tool requires a clear evaluation process.

Define Your Organization’s Needs

Start by understanding your organization:

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This helps narrow down options.

Compare Features vs Cost

Pricing varies depending on coverage and features.

  • Basic tools may cost around $1,000.
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Focus on ROI rather than price alone.

Assess Data Accuracy and Coverage

Accurate data is essential.

Check:

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to understand how legislative information is structured.

User Experience and Support

User experience affects adoption.

Evaluate:

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A system should help your team work smarter, not harder.

Common Mistakes to Avoid When Choosing Legislative Tracking Systems

Many organizations choose tools without fully evaluating their needs.

Choosing Based on Price Alone

Low-cost tools may lack comprehensive coverage and advanced reporting.

Ignoring Integration Needs

Without integration, workflow tools become disconnected.

Overlooking User Adoption

Complex systems reduce productivity and team collaboration.

Not Testing the Platform

Always request demos or trials.

Testing ensures the tool fits your organization and supports your team.

Key Benefits of Using Federal Legislative Tracking Software

Organizations that adopt legislative tracking tools gain a clear advantage.

Improved Decision-Making

Access to real-time data leads to better analysis and informed decisions.

Time Efficiency

Automation helps teams save time by reducing manual research.

Enhanced Compliance

Tracking regulations and policy changes reduces compliance risks.

Strategic Advantage

Organizations can stay ahead of policy developments and act early.

Benefits include:

  • Faster response to legislation.
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Future Trends in Legislative Monitoring Platforms

Legislative tracking continues to evolve with new technology.

AI and Machine Learning Integration

AI-powered systems provide predictive insights and deeper analysis.

Increased Automation

Automation reduces manual tracking and improves efficiency.

Data-Driven Policy Insights

Advanced analytics provide actionable insights into policy changes.

Organizations are shifting toward intelligent platforms that combine data, AI-powered tools, and automation.

How to Implement Legislative Tracking Software Successfully

Implementation determines long-term success.

Onboarding and Training

Train your team to use the system effectively.

Define Monitoring Criteria

Set alerts, keywords, and policy areas to track bills.

Integrate with Existing Systems

Ensure smooth workflow integration and team collaboration.

Proper setup helps organizations maximize value and stay informed.

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Welcome back, friends

Texas hemp businesses have filed suit to block new state regulations they say effectively ban smokeable hemp products and impose licensing fee increases so steep they could force many businesses to close. Yesterday, the Texas House State Affairs Committee heard testimony on the explosive growth of data centers in the state, with interconnection requests on the power grid now exceeding 400,000 megawatts and raising questions about cost, reliability, and water usage. Lastly, nineteen Texas summer camps are challenging a new state mandate requiring them to install fiber optic internet infrastructure, citing costs as high as $1.2 million and arguing the requirement is unworkable for rural properties and does nothing to improve camper safety.

Before you dive in…

USLege will be hosting our first ever Best in Government Affairs Awards Ceremony on April 23rd at Speakeasy in Downtown Austin.

Winners and guests will be treated to evening of celebration for the accomplishments in the 89th Texas Legislative Session.

You can expect music, networking, food & drinks and formal award acceptance.  

This is going to be a fun party! We hope to see you there.

»» RSVP HERE: Best in Government Affairs Awards Ceremony hosted by USLege

»» Watch Representative Ken King’s Intro Here ««

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Texas Political Spotlight
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Welcome back, friends

A federal trial is underway in Texas over whether the state's prison system has done enough to protect inmates from extreme heat, with a price tag of $1.5 billion standing at the center of the debate. Texas House Speaker Dustin Burrows has tasked a new legislative committee with studying whether Texas could absorb one or more counties from New Mexico, a long-shot proposal that has already drawn a sharp response from the neighboring state's governor. A public feud between Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and acting Comptroller Kelly Hancock has spilled into federal court, where a judge is overseeing the fallout in a lawsuit alleging religious discrimination in the state's $1 billion ESA Program.

We hope you enjoyed today’s read!

Stay connected with TXLege News on X and LinkedIn!

Texas Political Spotlight
This is some text inside of a div block.

Welcome back, friends

Texas hemp businesses have filed suit to block new state regulations they say effectively ban smokeable hemp products and impose licensing fee increases so steep they could force many businesses to close. Yesterday, the Texas House State Affairs Committee heard testimony on the explosive growth of data centers in the state, with interconnection requests on the power grid now exceeding 400,000 megawatts and raising questions about cost, reliability, and water usage. Lastly, nineteen Texas summer camps are challenging a new state mandate requiring them to install fiber optic internet infrastructure, citing costs as high as $1.2 million and arguing the requirement is unworkable for rural properties and does nothing to improve camper safety.

Before you dive in…

USLege will be hosting our first ever Best in Government Affairs Awards Ceremony on April 23rd at Speakeasy in Downtown Austin.

Winners and guests will be treated to evening of celebration for the accomplishments in the 89th Texas Legislative Session.

You can expect music, networking, food & drinks and formal award acceptance.  

This is going to be a fun party! We hope to see you there.

»» RSVP HERE: Best in Government Affairs Awards Ceremony hosted by USLege

»» Watch Representative Ken King’s Intro Here ««

We hope you enjoyed today’s read!

Stay connected with TXLege News on X and LinkedIn!

Texas Political Spotlight
This is some text inside of a div block.

Welcome back, friends

A federal trial is underway in Texas over whether the state's prison system has done enough to protect inmates from extreme heat, with a price tag of $1.5 billion standing at the center of the debate. Texas House Speaker Dustin Burrows has tasked a new legislative committee with studying whether Texas could absorb one or more counties from New Mexico, a long-shot proposal that has already drawn a sharp response from the neighboring state's governor. A public feud between Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and acting Comptroller Kelly Hancock has spilled into federal court, where a judge is overseeing the fallout in a lawsuit alleging religious discrimination in the state's $1 billion ESA Program.

We hope you enjoyed today’s read!

Stay connected with TXLege News on X and LinkedIn!

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Welcome back, friends

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»»» View official press release from Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick Here «««

We hope you enjoyed today’s read!

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